ASML: The World's Supplier

The Quiet Force Behind the Race for AI Supremacy

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In Today’s Newsletter

  • A deep-dive into the unsung hero which serves as the backbone of the Tech ecosystem.

  • Does ASML have a competitive advantage? What might that be, if so?

  • Learn why ASML is a critical component for all companies in the race for AI Supremacy

  • Gain key insights into the immense profitability of ASML.

Deep-Dive

INTRO

When you think about the tech giants shaping the future, names like Apple, Google, and Microsoft probably come to mind. But behind the scenes, there's a company you might not have heard of that's quietly making it all possible: ASML.

This Dutch powerhouse plays a pivotal role in the semiconductor industry, enabling the very chips that power our digital lives. ASML recently took a bit of a tumble in the stock market, mostly due to some short-term challenges, but that just might be an opportunity in disguise.

For those in the know, it could be the perfect time to get in on a company that's truly the backbone of the modern tech ecosystem.

ASML’s 5-year stock performance: up +321.67%

A Little Background

Who exactly is ASML? Founded in 1984 in the Netherlands, ASML started as a small division of Philips but quickly grew into the leading provider of photolithography machines—the crucial equipment used to manufacture semiconductors.

These aren't your average machines; they're some of the most complex pieces of technology ever created, enabling the production of the tiny, intricate chips found in everything from smartphones to supercomputers.

ASML's technology is so advanced that it's often referred to as the "holy grail" of semiconductor manufacturing. Without ASML, the likes of Intel, TSMC, and Samsung wouldn't be able to produce the cutting-edge chips that drive innovation across the globe.

The company's journey from a relatively unknown player to a dominant force in the semiconductor industry is nothing short of remarkable. It’s a tale of relentless innovation, deep collaboration, and a laser-sharp focus on staying ahead of the curve.

THE CORE TECH

At the heart of ASML's business lies photolithography, a process that uses light to print patterns onto silicon wafers. These patterns are then etched into the wafer to create the tiny transistors that make up a semiconductor chip. It's a bit like printing a picture onto a piece of paper, but instead of ink, you're using light, and instead of paper, you're working with ultra-pure silicon.

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The big deal? ASML's machines can create these patterns at an incredibly small scale—down to a few nanometers. This extreme precision is what allows modern chips to be so powerful and energy-efficient.

But it’s not just about being small—it’s about doing it with speed, accuracy, and consistency. ASML’s machines are engineered to operate at a level of precision that borders on the incredible.

ASML and AI – A MATCH MADE IN SILICON

In the actual race for AI supremacy, semiconductors are the engine, and ASML is the key mechanic. AI demands immense computational power, and this power comes from the most advanced chips, which can be manufactured with ASML’s cutting-edge technology. ASML’s machines, especially the EUV (extreme ultraviolet) models, are crucial for producing the high-density, high-performance chips that AI algorithms thrive on. This forms the basis of a significant competitive advantage for the company.

While TSMC dominates in semiconductor production, ASML’s role is indispensable. It holds a near-monopoly on the tools needed to make AI chips, ensuring that it remains a crucial player as AI continues to evolve. The collaboration between ASML and TSMC isn’t just about maintaining leadership; it’s about pushing the boundaries of what’s possible in AI.

The progress doesn’t stop there. ASML is already working on the next generation of its EUV technology—High-NA EUV—which promises even greater precision and efficiency. This will be vital for the next wave of AI development, enabling even more powerful and energy-efficient chips.

So why is ASML so important? Simply put, as we said, they have a near-monopoly on the technology that powers the semiconductor industry. While there are other companies that produce photolithography equipment, none seems to match the efficiency of ASML's machines.

This dominance gives ASML an incredible amount of leverage in the tech world. In fact, their customers, including giants like Intel, Samsung, and TSMC, are highly dependent on its technology. This makes it not just a supplier, but a critical partner in the global tech ecosystem!

Beyond the sheer technical superiority, ASML's machines are also indispensable because of the ecosystem that has built up around them. The company offers extensive support, training, and services to its customers, ensuring that they can get the most out of their equipment.

A POWERHOUSE WITH STRONG FINANCIALS

Now, let's talk about what really interests us!

ASML isn't just a tech innovator; it's also a financial juggernaut. 

The company has seen consistent revenue growth driven by the strong demand for its cutting-edge equipment. In 2023, ASML reported revenues of over $23 billion, a testament to its dominant position in the market, despite the fact that 2024 is seen as a "transition year" with flat revenue growth, but ASML is preparing for a cyclical upturn in 2025.

One of the most impressive aspects of ASML's financials is its profitability. Let’s dig into this. Learn more below…

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